To meet the challenges of the future, NATO needs operationally agile forces that are resilient, strategically aware, supported by proactive strategic communications, and networked with a wide range of security partners.
Our work ensures that Alliance, national leaders and defence planners have a common perspective from which to anticipate the challenges facing the Alliance in the decades to come.
Strategic Foresight Analysis
Leading NATO’s military transformation and developing capabilities to address defence and security challenges by providing future military estimates, perspectives and advice is one of the key tasks given to Allied Command Transformation.
Allied Command Transformation has developed an enduring capability to meet this task; the persistent foresight and future studies. The initial part of this effort, the Strategic Foresight Analysis, addresses the opportunities and challenges of the future.
The aim of the Strategic Foresight Analysis is to identify trends that shape the future strategic context and derive defence and security implications for the Alliance to 2030 and beyond. It serves as the foundation of the Framework for Future Alliance Operations, a strategy document to assist with preparations for the future military capabilities of the Alliance.
Framework for Future Alliance Operations
The Framework for Future Alliance Operations is updated on a four-year cycle in concert with the NATO Defence Planning Process to provide an informed perspective of the challenges and opportunities facing the Alliance forces in the decades to come.
It is intended to inform National defence planning; strategic discussions and white papers; NATO defence planning; capability development; concept development; and doctrine, training, exercises, leadership, and education.
Overall, this is a strategic level document, and although it will discuss abilities NATO forces may require in the future, it is not intended to constrain NATO's decision making, National-defence planning, nor detailed capabilities development efforts.
Of note, this document is unclassified and disclosed to the general public to stimulate discussion and debate.
Framework for Future Alliance Operations Workshop - NATO Joint Warfare Centre, Stavanger, Norway, 2-5 October 2017
The Framework for Future Alliance Operations (FFAO) informs the transformation of NATO's military forces and provides input to the NATO Defence Planning Process (NDPP). With the start of the next NDPP cycle in 2019, Allied Command Transformation (ACT) is currently leading the development of the FFAO 2018 to provide the combined Strategic Commanders' best military advice in time.
The quality of this important document depends heavily on the active support and involvement of the wider NATO community. Therefore, we kindly ask you to contribute to the final workshop in the production of the FFAO 2018, to validate and to supplement the Military Implications of the previous FFAO (2015).
The workshop will take place at the Joint Warfare Centre (JWC) in Stavanger, Norway from 02-05 October 2017. We are specifically looking forward to the participation of Staff Officers (OF-3/4/5 or civilian equivalent) currently working on defence planning issues or with relevant experience in that field.
We request participants to complete their registration by 8 September 2017. Please see Administrative Instruction below.
Should there be any questions, please contact us.
Points of contact:
NATO'S Long-term Military Transformation Workshop, 28-30 March 2017, NATO Defense College, Rome, Italy
Workshop Invitation Letter | Agenda | Read Ahead | Administrative Instructions | FFAO Rome Workshop SACT COS Thank You Letter | FFAO Rome Workshop SACT DCOS SPP letter | FFAO Rome Workshop Report | FFAO Rome Workshop Out brief Slides
NATO'S Long-term Military Transformation Workshop, 26-30 September 2016, Bydgoszcz, Poland
SFA Workshop Introduction (~4MB) | FFAO Workshop Introduction (~9MB) | UK MOD DCDC Global Strategic Trends Programme (~5MB) | Assassin Bots Trained to Kill Reef-eating Starfish (mp4 video, ~14MB) | Capuchin Monkey Fairness Experiment (mp4 video, ~2MB)
NATO'S Long-term Military Transformation Workshop, 19-22 April 2016, Lucerne, Switzerland
Read-ahead documents | SFA FFAO - HNR Welcoming Remarks | Workshop Presentations | Australian Defence White Paper | Out-brief slides | Strategic Foresight Analysis (SFA) Workshop Report, 19-20 April 2016
Strategic Foresight Analysis 2015 Update Report WS-2
Strategic Foresight Analysis Interim Update Workshop - II
RADM Pete GUMATAOTAO (US Navy) - Deputy Chief of Staff Strategic Plans and Policy
Strategic Foresight Analysis 2015 Update Workshop
Mr. Mehmet Kinaci & LTC Aaron Bazin - Strategic Analysis Branch, Strategic Plans and Policy
U.S. Joint Staff Futures Series - Briefing to NATO Strategic Foresight Analysis Workshop
Duncan Brown, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab
--- This presentation is password-protected. Password should be requested to the Workshop organizers. ---
Emerging Risks and Disruptive Trends in (Global) Supply Chain Networks
Dipl.-Ing. Johannes Göllner, MSc - Section Head, Knowledge Management - National Defence Academy, Austrian Ministry of Defence and Sports
Dr. Joachim Klerx, Senior Researcher - Innovation Systems Department, AIT Austrian Institute of Technology GmbH
Strategic Foresight 2040 - Capability Planning in the German Armed Forces
Dr. Olaf Theiler - Future Analysis Branch, Bundeswehr Planning Office
Framework for Future Alliance Operations 2015
Framework for Future Alliance Operations Workshop #1: Ensuring a Mission Ready Alliance
20-21 February 2013, Copenhagen, Denmark
Framework for Future Alliance Operations Workshop #2: Military Implications in a Complex Security Environment
10-11 July 2013, Oberammergau, Germany
Framework for Future Alliance Operations Workshop #3: Broad Strategic Insights
25-26 September 2013, Izmir, Turkey
Framework for Future Alliance Operations Workshop #4
09-10 April 2014, Budapest, Hungary
Framework for Future Alliance Operations Workshop #5: Strategic Military Perspectives
11-12 June 2014 Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Framework for Future Alliance Operations Workshop #6: Military Implications
12-13 November 2014 Brussels, Belgium
Supreme Allied Command Transformation - Strategic Plans & Policy - Strategic Analysis Branch Contact information